Thursday, March 13, 2014

Sun Tzu's Art of War: Hendricks VS Lawler

Sun Tzu wrote The Art of War thousands of years before Mixed Martial Arts existed. Though he aimed to breakdown what aspects of military planning decided the winner of a battle, we can adapt his vision to the sport of MMA. So, what does one of the world's greatest military minds have to say about Saturday's match up between Johnny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler?

1) Which of the two sovereigns is imbued with the moral law?

  • Both guys have battle tested chins that make it hard for opponents to finish. However, more than half of Robbie Lawler's losses have come by submission, and though it was a long time ago, he was knocked out by Nick Diaz earlier in his career. Hendricks on the other hand has never been finished in a fight. He took hard shots in his fight with Carlos Condit and faced big punchers like Koscheck and Story without being phased. As far as durability and toughness goes Hendricks has the edge.
2) Which of the two generals has most ability?
  • Both guys have phenomenal trainers and teams behind them. Hendricks is part of Team Takedown which is run by Marc Laimon. A true mastermind when it comes to martial arts, Laimon knows how to coach fighters. Few people have the ability to analyze fights and think up strategies off the noggin like Laimon. However, Lawler's move to American Top Team in Florida was a turning point in his career. Ricardo Liborio's ATT produced some of the world’s best Mixed Martial Artists and have a history of excellence few teams can rival. Though Marc Laimon and Team Takedown are without a great asset to Hendricks, Liborio and ATT have a long track record of producing killers. Got to give this one to Lawler.
3) With whom lie the advantages derived from heaven and earth?
  • Lawler is coming off a tough win over Rory McDonald which gives him a lot of momentum going into Saturday's fight. Few people believed Lawler would be back in UFC title contention but here he is after going 3-0 in the welterweight division. Hendricks on the other hand seems to be the uncrowned champ at 170. Most people though he won his last fight and it remains to be seen how his mindset is going into this fight. Neither guy seems to have a big contextual advantage going into this fight, Hendricks looks like a guy that is determined to prove he's the real champ, and Lawler feels like this is his time.
4) On which side is discipline most rigorously enforced?
  • Neither guy has a reputation for being a cardio machine, but both have fought 5 hard rounds before. Both exert a lot of energy when throwing those nasty bombs at people, and both have slowed down towards the end of fights. I don't think either guy has a decisive advantage over the other in terms of a gas tank.
5) Which army is stronger?
  • Hendricks was the only guy to ever bully GSP, but he has been pushed around by guys like Pierce, Koscheck, and especially Rick Story. Lawler fought most of his career outside the UFC at 185 pounds and never looked vastly overpowered. That being said, there's a reason they call Johnny Hendricks "Big Rig." Hendricks likes to run through guys with brute strength at times, and I doubt Lawler will be able to push him around. Advantage: Hendricks.
6) On which side are officers and men more highly trained?
  • One doesn't reach this level of competition without excellent technique and being well rounded. Both guys are generally brawlers who look to land power shots on the feet but there is a sort of method to the chaos. Lawler has a bigger arsenal of weapons standing up: flying knees, head kicks, and power punches have all brought him success. However, Johnny Hendricks won 2 NCAA titles in wrestling and trains under Brazilian Jiu Jitsu guru Marc Laimon. Hendricks has the ability to take the fight where he wants, but Lawler isn't exactly a joke on the ground. The x-guard Lawler used against Koscheck was a thing of beauty, but I've seen Hendricks grapple before and he is more than able to nullify top level guys on the ground. Given that Hendricks's stand up is just as dangerous as Lawler’s, and he is able to bring the fight down to the ground where I'm sure Marc Laimon has him well trained, I got to think Hendricks has the advantage here.
7) In which army is there the greater constancy both in reward and punishment?
  • Both guys can finish the fight. Both guys have scary power that can only be matched by the asteroid from "Deep Impact." So it's very likely that this fight ends with one fighter waking up with a flashlight in his eyes. Hendricks says his jiu jitsu is his best kept secret but we've never seen it, and while Lawler has been finished by subs before, his training at ATT seems to have rectified that hole in his game. We can't assume Hendricks can finish on the ground, but we do know he can finish on the feet, a place where Lawler excels. Seeing as both guys can knock out a water buffalo, and we’ve never seen Hendricks’s submission game, I got to say this is push.
THE PICK: Hendricks is most likely stronger, is more well-rounded, and is tougher to finish. Both guys can finish the fight on the feet, but "Big Rig" has more options. Hendricks by UD


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